Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOGL) CEO Sundar Pichai gave a light, indirect response to the growing discussion about Gemini 3, Google’s next major language model – and it had major implications for predictions markets on Polymarket.
The comment came as speculation intensified on Polymarket, where traders now estimate a 69% chance that Google will launch the model on November 22.
Prediction markets are betting on Gemini 3 release next week $goog pic.twitter.com/cyvrJSMp62
— Alphabetting (@wintermoat) November 14, 2025
Polymarket has become the biggest prediction platform for betting on real-world events. Users put money on everything from product release dates and Bitcoin (BTC) price swings to election results and Federal Reserve decisions.
The market has turned into a place where traders try to price major tech moves before they happen and Gemini 3 is the latest focus.
DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025
What Does Sundar Pichai’s “Thinking Face” Emoji Signal About Gemini 3?
Participants trade event contracts using cryptocurrency. The platform recently raised $2Bn from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, bringing its valuation to $9Bn.
Prediction markets are also gaining attention at Google. The company has confirmed that Google Finance will soon display data from Polymarket and Kalshi, giving users a way to check market-based probabilities and see how traders are pricing real-world events.
With speculation rising around a possible Gemini 3 launch next week, Sundar Pichai kept his response brief. He posted two “thinking face” emojis on X and offered no further explanation.
🤔🤔 https://t.co/qOnZ87TUh0
— Sundar Pichai (@sundarpichai) November 14, 2025
His short reply signals that he is holding back on details, likely to avoid adding to the growing hype.
Still, the upcoming release matters for Google. The company is under pressure to narrow the distance between itself and firms that currently lead the AI field, especially OpenAI.
The wider industry is watching this launch with real interest, because the response to Gemini 3 will shape how seriously Google can compete at the top level.
DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto – Here’s 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x This Year
How Reliable Are Prediction Markets Compared to Polls and Expert Forecasts?
Business Insider and other outlets report that the model is expected before the end of the year.
They say Google is aiming for better coding output, stronger reasoning skills, and more refined multimedia generation.
The update is also expected to include an improved version of the company’s Nano Banana image system.
Pichai has already said that Gemini 3 will arrive this year. He has framed it as part of Google’s push to narrow the distance with OpenAI after a long stretch when ChatGPT dominated public attention.
That brings the headline question into focus: are prediction markets open to influence from high-profile figures?
Two decades of academic research have shown that prediction markets typically produce fairly accurate forecasts. In many cases, they have even outperformed polls and expert surveys.
But newer studies point to a risk. They show that a single large trade, placed at the right moment, can shift the price in automated-market-maker systems in ways that don’t fully unwind.
The effect can stick, especially when other traders treat that price move as real information instead of noise.
EXPLORE: What is Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC)?
Why you can trust 99Bitcoins
Established in 2013, 99Bitcoin’s team members have been crypto experts since Bitcoin’s Early days.
90hr+
Weekly Research
100k+
Monthly readers
50+
Expert contributors
2000+
Crypto Projects Reviewed
Follow 99Bitcoins on your Google News Feed
Get the latest updates, trends, and insights delivered straight to your fingertips. Subscribe now!
Subscribe now 
